Knicks vs. Pistons prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, March 27 best bets from proven model

The New York Knicks face the Detroit Pistons in a matinee battle on Sunday. The Knicks aim for the regular season sweep against the Pistons, and New York is 32-42 overall in 2021-22. Detroit is 20-54 with a 2-7 mark in the last nine games. Julius Randle (quad) is listed as questionable for New York, with Derrick Rose (ankle), Cam Reddish (shoulder) and Nerlens Noel (foot) ruled out. Jerami Grant (calf) and Hamidou Diallo (finger) are out for Detroit.

Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Detroit. The Knicks are listed as 3.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 219.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Pistons odds. Before you make any Pistons vs. Knicks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 79-49 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Pistons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Pistons vs. Knicks:

• Knicks vs. Pistons spread: Knicks -3.5
• Knicks vs. Pistons over-under: 219.5 points
• Knicks vs. Pistons money line: Knicks -150, Pistons +130
• NYK: The Knicks are 19-25 against the spread in conference games
• DET: The Pistons are 28-17-1 against the spread in conference games

Why the Knicks can cover

New York stands out in specific categories on offense, enhancing the team’s overall projection alongside a strong defense. The Knicks commit only 13.4 turnovers per game and make nearly 36 percent of 3-point attempts. New York is also excellent on the offensive glass, grabbing 29.4 percent of missed shots and producing 14.5 second-chance points per game. The Knicks are above-average overall on defense, yielding 110.4 points per 100 possessions, and New York is excellent in several metrics. Opponents are shooting only 44.7 percent from the field and 34.5 percent from 3-point range against the Knicks, and New York holds opponents to 24.0 assists per game. 

The Knicks are in the top five of the NBA in defensive rebound rate, and New York is allowing only 12.4 second-chance points per game. New York is also in the top 10 of the NBA in fast break points allowed and points allowed in the paint, with the Pistons landing in the bottom five of the league in points per possession, field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, and assist-to-turnover ratio.

Why the Pistons can cover

The Pistons have a juicy defensive matchup against the Knicks. Detroit is in the top eight of the NBA in fast break points allowed (11.1 per game), second-chance points allowed (12.6 per game), and turnovers created (14.6 per game). The Pistons are also above-average in steals (7.6 per game) and blocks (4.8 per game), and New York’s offense scuffles in several categories. The Knicks are scoring less than 1.1 points per possession for the season, ranking No. 23 in the NBA in efficiency. New York is dead-last in the league in assists and points in the paint, with the second-worst mark in two-point accuracy. 

The Knicks are also in the bottom five of the league in assist-to-turnover ratio, and Detroit does have offensive strengths to focus on against New York. The Pistons are above-average in offensive rebound rate at 27.7 percent, which leads to 13.9 second-chance points per game. Detroit is also above-average in free throw attempts (22.1 per game) and free throw accuracy (77.9 percent) this season.

How to make Pistons vs. Knicks picks

The model is leaning under on the total, projecting 215 combined points. It’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Knicks vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.